Queensland Monsoon Trough: 600mm Rainfall, Storms, and Flooding Expected (2026)

A powerful monsoon trough is set to unleash heavy rainfall and storms across Queensland, Australia, with potential impacts extending far beyond the state's borders. The Bureau of Meteorology warns that this weather system could bring up to 600mm of rain and cause flash flooding in several regions.

The trough, containing a low-pressure system, is expected to strengthen as it moves southeast from the northwest, affecting areas including Cairns, Innisfail, Tully, Ingham, Mount Isa, Cloncurry, Burketown, Mornington Island, Normanton, Doomadgee, Richmond, Julia Creek, Camooweal, and Croydon. Residents in these areas should prepare for the possibility of heavy rainfall, with some locations predicted to receive up to 260mm of rain, leading to potential flash flooding between Cairns and north of Townsville.

The impact isn't limited to Queensland. The Gulf Country, Northern Goldfields, Upper Flinders, North West, and Central West Forecast Districts can expect up to 170mm of rain and flash flooding. Meanwhile, the northeast tropical coast is bracing for increasing winds and potential damage.

The monsoon trough and winds are anticipated to trigger widespread heavy rainfall, with Cardwell Gap already recording 217mm of rain in the last 24 hours, making it the wettest place in Australia. Flood warnings and watches are in place for various catchments and regions, and the Gregory River in northwest Queensland is already at major flood levels.

Senior meteorologist Jonathan How warns that the severe weather conditions could persist for an extended period, particularly affecting outback and remote communities. He emphasizes the potential for road closures and community isolation, as well as impacts on agriculture, especially cattle and livestock, due to low temperatures and prolonged flood waters.

Rainfall totals are expected to climb over 300mm in western parts of the state tomorrow and could reach beyond 600mm by Wednesday, with four-day totals potentially exceeding 700mm. The monsoon trough and low will then move across the eastern parts of Queensland, and the Bureau of Meteorology will provide a clearer forecast later next week.

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Queensland Monsoon Trough: 600mm Rainfall, Storms, and Flooding Expected (2026)

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